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2024-12-13 11:56:16

Overnight, the external stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of the United States weakened collectively, while the Chinese stock index rose by 8.35% and the A50 index rose by 0.84%. The external sentiment was obviously beneficial to China assets. Therefore, there is no suspense in opening higher today, but if the opening is too large, it is not a good thing.Hong Kong stocks are mainly led by brokerage insurance, interior housing, consumption, technology and Internet giants. Today, under the A-share mapping, the above direction deserves special attention. However, I would like to remind you that after reading yesterday's resumption of trading, many small tickets and low-priced stocks that have been sizzled recently have shown signs of decline, so the way to break the position is to go on rallies, and the style switch behind should be a high probability event.December 10th Morning Post: High-level enlargement, homework came out today!


In another case, if it opens higher and goes lower today, and the closing price does not exceed 3470.66 points, then the short-term estimate will continue to step back and digest. On the contrary, this situation is a good thing. We only need to deal with it with high throwing and low sucking, and then we will have a real acceleration cycle after we gain momentum again.To put it simply, if you open higher and go higher today, there may be another stage high point in the short term, which may not be too friendly for the promotion of the market outlook. At least before the daily deviation is digested, it is a hidden dark mine, and then the fluctuation will be relatively large.3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.


3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.Hong Kong stocks are mainly led by brokerage insurance, interior housing, consumption, technology and Internet giants. Today, under the A-share mapping, the above direction deserves special attention. However, I would like to remind you that after reading yesterday's resumption of trading, many small tickets and low-priced stocks that have been sizzled recently have shown signs of decline, so the way to break the position is to go on rallies, and the style switch behind should be a high probability event.First of all, the policy combination boxing includes not only monetary policy, but also fiscal policy. Some brokers have predicted that deficit ratio will increase from 3% to 4%. Of course, this needs to be verified later. It's just that fiscal stimulus is a moderate rhythm of releasing water, not to mention that it hasn't been introduced yet, at least don't expect this batch of funds to flow into A shares quickly.

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